Transportation During A Grid-Down Disaster

pack animal - logisticsMost of us have read or seen the recent headlines where various government agencies have warned that the United States is under a serious threat for a devastating cyber-attack capable of bringing down the entire national electrical grid, as well as most of the related supply-chain infrastructure.

For those readers who may be new to the nuances of what a cyber-attack means in practical terms; it goes well beyond not being able to access your Facebook account, a bank ATM machine or the inability to use a credit card at the store.

In the not-so-distant past, prior to the advent of the modern high speed computers that we have today, the various utilities that we all (most readers) use and depend upon each and every day of our lives were overseen and run in real-time by humans. Men and women would actually sit at consoles full of gauges, switches and valves and they oversaw the operations of everything from the water and gas systems, sewer systems, electrical power grids, traffic systems, railroad systems, air traffic control systems and much more.

Today, modern high-speed computers run all of those systems to a great extent. Things like the banking systems (including the Federal Reserve), Wall Street, Credit Cards, transportation systems (air, rail, highways), communications systems (TV, Internet, Cell Phones, land-lines) and the national defense systems that protect our country from attack are all run by computers. Almost any large-scale system you can think of is run by computers, all of which are susceptible to being ‘hacked’. And in the case of cyber-warfare, they just don’t hack the computer to steal some money, or some marketing info, or the plans to a nuclear reactor, as they have in the past; no, they destroy the system memory and all of the backup so that the system goes down, permanently.

In practical terms, what does this mean to the average American?

In addition to the loss of all services related to the loss of the electrical grid, all of the refineries that produce the fuel that vehicles require will be off-line, killing all forms of freight transport as well as public and private transportation. And the up-stream and down-stream supply chain infrastructure will also be down as a function of the loss of the supporting infrastructure as well. Communications would be non-existent for most civilians, bridges and railway crossing would be offline and not functioning, traffic lights offline, vehicles would be stranded everywhere as a result of not being able to get fuel (pumps at fueling stops are inoperable), and a dozen or more other serious problems.

In this article, we are considering just personal transportation logistics during a post grid-down scenario (I.E. how can people and supplies be moved from one place to another post disaster?).

Given that nearly all vehicles will be immobile due to a lack of fuel, there will be issues with stalled vehicles blocking roads everywhere. Even people who were prepared to one extent or another by having a stockpile of fuel will be facing two problems; road blocks formed by dead vehicles, and sooner or later they too will also exhaust their fuel supply. The military will be scrambling to handle their own fuel issues related to maintaining the defensive posture of the United States during any such event, so any hope they will be sharing our distributing any of their fuel to the public is a fairy-tale.

So what can be done? Well, for those people who have in preemptive fashion relocated themselves into the rural and wilderness areas; horses provide the time-honored solution to a lack of the infrastructure related to fuel-powered vehicles.

Horse cart - logistics

Photo courtesy of Bob Skelding

A single healthy horse is quite capable of carrying a man/woman and some supplies over a distance of 50-miles or more in a day. By adding one or more pack horses, even more supplies can be carried on the same trip. Horse-drawn wagons can carry a very significant amount of weight. Here is a link to a website about an interesting man who is touring the U.S. using a wagon (weight about 8,000 lbs.) that is drawn by a team of horses: http://www.wagonteamster.com/

Mounted Cavalry - logistics

In some countries of the world, mounted cavalry are still used today, and are effective

Too many people today don’t have any idea how important horses were to commerce in the U.S. just 120 years ago; the fact is, the United States was build off the backs of horses! And there are important lessons and skills from those days that should never be forgotten or lost. If the national electrical grid went down due to a cyber-attack, Electromagnetic Pulse Weapon, or due to a Carrington sized solar event, people in the cities would be in serious trouble!

The technical advisors, scientists and other experts that were engaged in the EMP Commission (http://williamesimpson.com/national-infrastrusture-emp-commission) by the U.S. government to study the effect of a ‘Grid-Down’ scenario in the U.S. found that about 90% of all Americans would be dead within the first 12-18 months after such an event (related to House Bill 5026) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bHG8zcM-jU0

This latest video provides a summary of the issues of main concern:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RdCaV3ELvsM&feature=youtu.be

That’s a really frightening forecast, which is one reason why most people choose to just ignore it. I say that is a bad move given the recent warning coming now even from the office of President Obama, who’s reputation for being ‘the last to know, with the least information’ is well established. (http://www.foxbusiness.com/economy-policy/2014/10/12/obama-said-to-warn-crippling-cyber-attack-potential/).

I have in prior articles addressed the potential solutions and lifestyle alternatives to becoming a casualty in the city due to a large-scale disaster, which for most people involves relocating to a rural or country area, which is also perfectly suited for horses. Horses require grazing land unless you intend to provide food or supplement a poor grazing area. Generally speaking, and assuming a good pasture, one horse needs about 10 acres to keep them going. Larger areas are required when the pasture is of poor quality.

There is one worry though…. In the past, the open ranges in America held about two-million wild horses, so many people had access to these horses when they were needed (http://www.eduscapes.com/nature/mustang/index1.htm). But that has all changed, and wild horses are arguably on the brink of extinction in America. The BLM claims there are about 40,000 wild horses left, while other private groups believe the number is closer to about 25,000. In any event, the gene pool is fragile and could fail with such a low number, if the numbers decrease further. More about that situation here: http://goodmenproject.com/featured-content/kt-american-atrocity-wild-horse-round-ups/

I guess the point I am making is; if you are in a place where a horse makes sense, it may be a very good time to get one. There are basically a couple of ways to get yourself a good horse:

  • You can adopt a mustang from the BLM and that is fairly inexpensive, and by doing so, you are preserving part of last remaining wild horses (https://www.blm.gov/adoptahorse/)
  • You can buy a horse: I have seen some great deals on horses on Craigslist.

From my chair, horses are an important asset, and therefore, good stewardship of man’s second best friend is imperative http://goodmenproject.com/featured-content/making-friends-with-the-neighbors-kt/

Stalions - logistics

Photo courtesy: Laura Simpson © 2014: A couple of our favorite stallions

If the SHTF and you’re in the right location, having a horse can be a real blessing! With a good horse and a harness you can skid lumber, plow a field, pull a wagon, etc. And with a saddle and saddle bags, you can travel cross-country off the beaten path!

Horses are very stealthy, and unlike a vehicle, can cross relatively deep waters, climb over mountains, and basically take a person where ever they need to go!

 

Cheers! Capt. Bill

 

Capt. William E. Simpson II – USMM
Semper Veritas / Semper Paratus

http://www.WilliameSimpson.com
IMDb:
http://www.imdb.com/name/nm6505899/
Twitter: 
https://twitter.com/NauticalPrepper

4 comments

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  1. Living in Ocala, the Horse Capital of the World, I would agree. For those restricted in purchasing a horse, other non-motorized modes of transportation should be considered (i.e. bikes, sailboats, etc…).

    • carolyn adams on January 13, 2015 at 10:17 pm

    yep that’s what im going to do ive got the horses

    • Kris Dusing on January 20, 2015 at 9:03 am

    Well, horses are a great alternative to fuel-powered vehicles. But…

    the thinking here is a bit simplistic. I have been in the horse training profession for over two decades. A person with no background with horses would not be able to just go adopt a wild mustang and hitch up a wagon or throw on a saddle and go down the road. In fact, to do so, could be life endangering for both the horse and the human; not a situation you would want to be in with no medical help available. It takes months, if not years, to properly teach a horse to lead in a halter, tie, to be saddled and ridden or to pull and carry heavy loads.

    Horses are also not easy or cheap to care for. If you aren’t going to be in an area where there is plenty of native grasses for your horse to dine on every day, you will have to purchase and haul the feed with you. And how will you do that when the grid is down?

    So, unless you have many years of good horse experience under your belt; please don’t go buy a horse. A bike will be a much better option for you.

    And if you think you really really really must have a horse, read some books and get some lessons with a professional before jumping into the deep end.

    1. Greetings Kris:

      I for one appreciate your additional input and comments; thank you. You have however made an incorrect assumption as to the scope of the article… this happens a lot due to the limitations (space, time, etc.) of any particular forum. The article was not intended as treatise or a 300-page book on ‘horse management and training’. It is an article about the value of retaining adequate numbers of horses as a ubiquitous source for hearty breeding stock for ‘horsepower’ should it be needed again. I really don’t think any reader here is so ignorant to believe that you can just jump on the back of any horse or a wild horse. I also believe that most readers understand there is work that must be done (gentling, training, getting to know the animal, etc.), to some level or another depending on the horse, to make use of the horse. There are many domestic horses across America that have been turned out onto the range, which are upon adoption, much easier to work with. I grew-up on a working ranch with horses, and my wife and I live with both wild and ‘feral’ (abandoned) horses that range across and on our 150-acre ranch that is part of thousands of acres of privately-owned open-range in the mountains… there are some very docile horses that walk right up to us, and let us brush them, remove ticks, etc. Some have foals, which are bonding with us, and could be developed into riding horses with some work. Clearly the abandoned former pets are not fire-breathing stallions (and we have a few of those guys on the range too!). And these horses that are essentially running wild on the range seem to live-out relatively long lives just fine without the interventions of any man or women… so the notion that ‘all’ horses require intensive care and attention is totally contradicted by these many thousands of horses that have been on the range for many, many generations. The biggest problem the horses face in our area are the large mountain lions that regularly take down the foals and yearlings. Horses that stem from these very hearty genetic lines are very durable and tough (much more so than any domestic breeds), and that point is supported by the lives they live roaming on the open range, where the mortality rate of domestic horses that are turned-out is much higher than the horses that were born on the range, which have evolved in much more demanding conditions than a grassy paddock behind a barn full of hay and grain. In today’s modern society where everyone utilizes motorized vehicles, it’s important to remind people of some of the historical values that may be needed again in the future. The goal of the article is to re-establish and assign a ‘value’ that the supports the logic in keeping a reasonable number of these horses on the range (as source stock), as opposed to letting the BLM send them all off to the slaughter houses! All of that said, there will always be a need for horses trainers and whisperers… so your place is secure in a post apocalyptic world! {;-)

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